Tuesday, February 10, 2015

CBO's recent analysis of the proposal to increase the minimum wage

The CBO estimates that the impact of raising the minimum wage to $10.10 on employment ranges from a slight decrease to a loss of 1 million jobs. The best estimate is implementation would reduce employment by 500,000 (and increase the unemployment rate by about 0.3%).

"Many more low-wage workers would see an increase in their earnings. ... The increased earnings for low-wage workers resulting from the higher minimum wage would total $31 billion, by CBO's estimate. However, those earnings would not go only to low-income families, because many low-wage workers are not members of low-income families. Just 19 percent of the $31 billion would accrue to families with earnings below the poverty threshold, whereas 29 percent would accrue to families earning more than three times the poverty threshold, CBO estimates."

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